Hull City vs Brentford Result: Under 3.5 Goals Prediction Won
Hull City and Brentford drew 1-1, so our Under 3.5 Goals pick at estimated odds of 1.50 won. Here is what the data showed beforehand and how the match played out.
Our Under 3.5 Goals prediction for Hull City against Brentford won. The Premier League match on Sunday 25 October finished 1-1, two goals in total and comfortably inside the line.
We published the pick before kick-off at estimated odds of 1.50 with Medium confidence. Not every pick wins, so here is the reasoning behind it and what happened.
What the data showed before Hull City vs Brentford
Hull had averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded across three unbeaten home league games. That is a fairly low-scoring profile at home, which supported a totals pick on the under side.
Brentford had drawn all three of their away league fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals both scored and conceded. Taken together, the figures pointed to a match that could be competitive without necessarily producing four or more goals.
Why we rated the Under 3.5 Goals pick Medium confidence
Three of each team's last five matches finished below four goals, including Hull's latest 0-1 defeat and Brentford's 1-2 loss. However, both sides also recorded two 2-2 draws in those sequences, so the recent scoring evidence was mixed.
We estimated a 69% chance of the under landing. That narrowly exceeded the 66.7% break-even threshold implied by odds of 1.50, which is why we considered it a plausible option. The small sample, the recent four-goal draws and unconfirmed line-ups kept us from a High rating.
How the match finished
Hull City and Brentford drew 1-1, so the total of two goals was below the 3.5 line and the pick was settled as a win.
A narrow edge in the numbers is not a guarantee, and a single result does not prove the method. The draw fits the cautious reading of the data, but a different scoreline could easily have gone the other way.
Every result is on our public track record
This win sits alongside our losses on the SharpTips public track record, where every settled pick is recorded, won or lost. Subscribers get the full prediction with all our picks, estimated odds and analysis, and we also publish three free predictions a day for anyone who wants to see how we work. Betting carries risk, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
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