Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München Prediction and Preview

Our Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München preview covers form, head-to-head, team news and goal trends ahead of the Champions League tie on Tuesday 3 November at 20:00 UK time.
Atletico Madrid host Bayern München in the Champions League league phase on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 20:00 UK time. Both sides sit in the play-off zone, Atletico 16th on 4 points and Bayern 14th on 5 points.
Both teams have significant absentees, and line-ups are not yet out, so everything below on team news is provisional.
Atletico Madrid form and home record
Atletico come in on a run of WWDWW across their last five matches, with the most recent result a 2-0 win at Levante in La Liga. In the Champions League they have a win over Manchester United, a draw at VfB Stuttgart and a 2-1 defeat at Liverpool.
At home they have been solid. Over the last seven home games with statistics they have scored in every one, averaging 2.0 goals for and 0.4 against. Across the last 12 months in the competitions we track, their home record reads W20-D3-L5.
Bayern München form and goal trends
Bayern's last five reads DWWDW, and their latest result was a 2-2 draw with Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga. They have also drawn 2-2 with Arsenal and 3-3 at Viking in this competition, which shows how open their games can be.
Their numbers in front of goal are striking. Over their last 15 games with statistics they average 3.5 goals for and 1.1 against, with over 2.5 goals in 14 of them. Away from home they have scored in six of their last seven, and both teams have scored in six of those seven.
Team news and head-to-head
Atletico are without Hjulmand through suspension, and Koke and Cardoso are injured. Press reports say Pablo Barrios is the only fit regular central midfielder, so the middle of the pitch looks thin.
Bayern's problems are in attack and goal. Gnabry and Saibari are out, Musiala and Díaz are listed as unavailable, and Olise, their top scorer in our data with 12 goals, is doubtful. Neuer is unlikely to play and Urbig is being monitored after a concussion check. Kompany is also reported absent through illness, with Aaron Danks as interim coach.
The last five meetings are split. Bayern won three, Atletico won one and one finished level, the most recent a 1-1 draw in December 2020. Those games are several years old and say little about the current squads.
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