Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool Prediction and Preview: Champions League

Fenerbahçe form and team news

Fenerbahçe's last five games read LLDWL, most recent first, and their league-phase position reflects it: 31st with 2 points and a goal difference of minus 6. Their two home games in this competition so far have both been draws. Dirk Kuyt is in interim charge after Ismail Kartal resigned, and this is his first Champions League match as coach.

The injury list is heavy. Nathan Aké, Marco Asensio and Jayden Oosterwolde are listed as missing, and Kojo Peprah Oppong is ruled out with an injury pending an MRI. Line-ups are not out yet, so treat all team news as provisional until about 30 minutes before kick-off.

Liverpool form and injuries

Liverpool are third in the league phase with 9 points and a goal difference of plus 5. They have won all three European games, including a 6-3 win at Lask Linz and a 4-3 home win over Villarreal. Those results show a side that scores freely but also concedes, with no clean sheets so far.

Domestically they lost 1-0 to Arsenal on 1 November, their first defeat in over a month. Predicted line-ups list Bradley, Ekitiké, Frimpong and Leoni as out, and the data provider also shows Gravenberch among those missing. Liverpool's away record in the tracked competitions over the last year is 12 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats from 25.

Goals, head-to-head and what the numbers suggest

There are no recent head-to-head fixtures between these clubs in our data, so the judgement rests on current form. Across the competition over the last 12 months, matches average 3.30 goals, with over 2.5 landing in 61% and both teams scoring in 56%. Liverpool's away games in our tracked competitions have gone over 2.5 goals 64% of the time, while Fenerbahçe's home games have done so in 25%.

Fenerbahçe have conceded 2.0 a game away from home in this season's competition, but 0.8 at home. That contrast matters, as does Liverpool's open style in Europe. The market has made Liverpool clear favourites, though no outcome is certain and any bet carries risk.

Get the full prediction with SharpTips

Our full prediction for this match, including every pick, estimated odds and the analysis behind it, is available to subscribers. You can check our public track record before you decide, and you can read three free predictions every day.