Villarreal vs PSG Prediction: Champions League Preview
Villarreal host unbeaten PSG in Matchday 4 of the Champions League league phase. We look at form, injuries, goals data and the context behind the tie.
Villarreal welcome Paris Saint Germain on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off listed for 20:00 UK time, in Matchday 4 of the Champions League league phase. Sources differ on the start time, so check it separately before the game.
PSG arrive on a long unbeaten run in the competition, while Villarreal have a leaky record in Europe. Here is what the numbers and the team news say.
Villarreal form and team news
Villarreal's last five reads LWWLD, most recent first. They lost 1-0 to Espanyol in La Liga, and before that they went down 4-3 at Liverpool in this competition after leading 2-0. In between came a 3-1 home win over Napoli, so the team can score and win against strong opposition.
Defence is the concern. They have conceded in each of their last 14 Champions League games, a club record, and in this season's competition they average 3.5 conceded per game away from home. At home they have scored 3.0 per game and conceded 1.0 across the matches played so far.
On injuries, the data provider lists Ilias Akhomach, Juan Foyth and Gerard Moreno with muscle problems. Foyth's issue was reported as being of unclear severity pending tests, and he had been expected to partner Renato Veiga. Line-ups are not out yet, so treat all team news as provisional.
PSG form, record and absences
PSG have won their last five matches and are unbeaten in 13 Champions League games, with nine wins and four draws, equalling their club record. Their latest European result was a 4-2 win over Barcelona, following a 4-2 win at Manchester City. They also have not lost on Spanish soil since November 2015.
Over the last 12 months in the competitions we track, PSG have won 33 of 49 games, scoring 2.45 and conceding 1.12 per game. They have failed to score in only 4% of those matches. Away from home they have won 16, drawn 4 and lost 4 from 24.
The provider lists Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes as missing with thigh, knee and muscle problems. We found no reliable recent PSG team news from the press, so that list should be checked again nearer kick-off.
Goals trends and head-to-head
No recent head-to-head fixtures between these sides were found, so the picture comes from each team's own profile. Across the 279 Champions League matches in the last 12 months, the average is 3.30 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing in 61% and both teams scoring in 56%.
Villarreal's home games over the last year have produced over 2.5 goals 76% of the time and both teams scoring 76%. PSG's away games sit at 67% for over 2.5 and 58% for both scoring. Both sides have also scored in every Champions League game they have played this season. These are trends, not guarantees, and betting always carries risk.
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