- 103'HGoal - Joe Gomez · Penalty
- 101'AGoal - Levi Colwill · Penalty
- 100'HGoal - Bradley Barcola · Penalty
- 99'AGoal - Jordan Henderson · Penalty
- 96'HGoal - Florian Wirtz · Penalty
- 95'AGoal - Romeo Lavia · Penalty
- 94'AGoal - Morgan Rogers · Penalty
- 94'HGoal - Cody Gakpo · Penalty
- 93'HGoal - Alexander Isak · Penalty
- 92'AGoal - Pedro Neto · Penalty
- 91'HGoal - Alexis Mac Allister · Penalty
- 82'HSubstitution - Alexander Isak · for Rio Ngumoha
- 81'HSubstitution - Alexis Mac Allister · for Treymaurice Nyoni
- 73'AYellow card - Romeo Lavia
- 72'HSubstitution - Jérémy Jacquet · for Virgil van Dijk
- 68'ASubstitution - Emanuel Emegha · for Danny Welbeck
- 68'ASubstitution - Marco Palestra · for Malo Gusto
- 68'ASubstitution - Valentin Barco · for Moises Caicedo
- 59'HSubstitution - Bradley Barcola · for Lewis Koumas
- 59'HSubstitution - Florian Wirtz · for James McConnell
- 50'AYellow card - Josh Acheampong
- 46'ASubstitution - Levi Colwill · for Maxence Lacroix
- 43'HGoal - Cody Gakpo · Penalty
- 40'AGoal - Morgan Rogers · Penalty
- 21'HYellow card - James McConnell
- 11'HYellow card - Lewis Koumas
- 4
- Shots on target
- 4
- 10
- Shots
- 11
- 7
- Corners
- 5
- 52
- Possession %
- 48
Liverpool vs Chelsea: goals lean in a rotated Anfield cup tie
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceLostTotal GoalsOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.50
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Liverpool have won four straight, scoring 14 and conceding 10 across their last five, including 4-3 against Villarreal and 6-3 at LASK. Chelsea's recent run includes a 5-1 win over Bournemouth and a 2-2 draw with Hull, and they have averaged 4.0 goals a game in this competition so far.
Chelsea are without Cole Palmer (suspended), Emiliano Martinez and Reece James, and Joao Pedro is a doubt, so a reshuffled defence and a likely change in goal point to openings at the back. Liverpool are missing Szoboszlai and Frimpong, Wirtz is a doubt, and both sides are expected to rotate. Line-ups are not yet published, so this team news is provisional. Three of the last five meetings produced three or more goals, and the market makes Liverpool only slight favourites while expecting an open game.
We rate Over 2.5 Goals at around 66%: scoring form on both sides, a weakened Chelsea defence and the head-to-head trend all point the same way, which supports Medium confidence. It stops short of High because rotation and missing creative players on both teams could flatten the tempo, and the last meeting at Anfield finished 1-1.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (93 matches): 3.04 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 55%, both teams scored in 56%, 10.1 corners, 3.4 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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