- 92'AYellow card - Andrey Santos
- 92'HYellow card - Ethan Ampadu
- 84'ASubstitution - Matheus Cunha · for Youri Tielemans
- 81'HSubstitution - Sean Longstaff · for Ao Tanaka
- 74'HSubstitution - Lukas Nmecha · for Noah Okafor
- 74'ASubstitution - Mason Mount · for Carlos Baleba
- 51'HGoal - Dominic Calvert-Lewin · Assist: Tarik Muharemovic
- 45'ASubstitution - Noussair Mazraoui · for Lisandro Martínez
- 35'AGoal - Bryan Mbeumo · Assist: Youri Tielemans
- 19'HYellow card - Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 17'AYellow card - Bruno Fernandes
- 5
- Shots on target
- 3
- 12
- Shots
- 12
- 2
- Corners
- 3
- 62
- Possession %
- 38
Leeds avoidance of defeat leads the selections
Our picks (2)
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonDouble ChanceLeeds or Draw@ 1.40
- Medium confidenceWonTotal GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals@ 1.40
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Leeds sit seventh with nine points and a W1-D2-L0 home league record; Manchester United are 13th with six points and W0-D2-L1 away. Those venue records support Leeds or Draw at 1.40 more convincingly than an outright home win, particularly with Leeds winning only one of their last five matches.
Leeds average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, while United average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded away. Four of each side's last five matches finished below four goals, supporting Under 3.5 at 1.50, although Leeds' recent 4-1 and 3-6 results prevent stronger confidence.
Leeds or Draw carries Medium confidence: the table and home-away records provide enough support to rise above a thin lean. High would overstate the evidence with just three home league games played, Rodon reportedly unavailable and James' availability unresolved ahead of confirmed line-ups.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (371 matches): 2.75 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 53%, both teams scored in 56%, 9.9 corners, 4.2 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Related articles
All articles →
Leeds vs Manchester United preview: form and team news
Leeds welcome Manchester United in the Premier League on Sunday. Recent results, league positions, head-to-head meetings and provisional team news set the scene.
Chelsea 2-0 Man United: Our Draw No Bet Prediction Result
Our Chelsea Draw No Bet pick at estimated odds of 1.47 won after a 2-0 home win over Manchester United. Here is what the data showed and how the match played out.
Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction and Preview: 31 October
Chelsea host Manchester United at Stamford Bridge on Saturday 31 October (12:30 UK). We look at form, head-to-head, team news and the numbers behind this Premier League clash.
Recommended predictions
The strongest picks we have published for the coming matches.
Fenerbahçevs
Liverpool
Wrexhamvs
MiddlesbroughWhy bettors use SharpTips
Every pick is timestamped at least 12 hours before the match and never edited afterwards.
Wins and losses are settled automatically from the final score and stay public.
Form, league table, season statistics, injuries and line-ups for each match.
Bookmaker prices are the baseline - we look for concrete reasons to side with or against them.
Selections are written in full, exactly as they appear on a betting slip.
No pick is forced onto a fixture - where the data is thin we publish nothing.