Como vs Manchester United
4 - 1
- 91'AGoal - Joshua Zirkzee · Assist: Amad Diallo
- 86'ASubstitution - Shea Lacey · for Bryan Mbeumo
- 86'AYellow card - Shea Lacey
- 84'HYellow card - Marc-Oliver Kempf
- 80'HSubstitution - Alberto Dossena · for Maximo Perrone
- 80'HSubstitution - Samuele Ricci · for Nico Paz
- 80'HSubstitution - Ivan Smolcic · for Yan Couto
- 79'ASubstitution - Harry Amass · for Matthijs De Ligt
- 76'HGoal - Jacobo Ramón · Assist: Kaiki Bruno
- 69'HSubstitution - Kaiki Bruno · for Lucas Da Cunha
- 67'ASubstitution - Joshua Zirkzee · for Bruno Fernandes
- 64'HSubstitution - Maxence Caqueret · for Martin Baturina
- 57'HGoal - Nico Paz
- 50'AYellow card - Carlos Baleba
- 49'HGoal - Anastasios Douvikas · Assist: Nico Paz
- 45'ASubstitution - Amad Diallo · for Matheus Cunha
- 45'ASubstitution - Carlos Baleba · for Andrey Santos
- 25'AYellow card - Andrey Santos
- 2'HGoal - Nico Paz · Assist: Lucas Da Cunha
- 8
- Shots on target
- 4
- 11
- Shots
- 13
- 1
- Corners
- 4
- 55
- Possession %
- 45
Como or draw gets the nod against winless United
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonDouble ChanceComo or Draw@ 1.46
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Como beat Fiorentina 3-1 last time out and have two wins from their last five matches. United's corresponding sequence contains three draws and two defeats, supporting Como or Draw at 1.39 rather than an outright home-win selection.
United list Šeško and Dorgu as unavailable and Yoro as suspended, while several other players remain doubtful. Como also have Diao absent and Kean and Chalobah doubtful, so the provisional team news does not support an aggressive home-win stance.
The main pick carries Medium confidence at an estimated 74%, above the roughly 72% required by the price. United's winless run supports that assessment, but both teams having three Champions League points and the uncertainty over availability prevent a High rating.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (279 matches): 3.30 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 61%, both teams scored in 56%, 9.6 corners, 4.0 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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