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ChelseaChelsea vs Manchester UnitedManchester United2 - 0

Premier League logoPremier League·Saturday 31 October at 12:30
Full timeMatch time
0'HT90'
Match eventsChelsea / Manchester United
  1. 97'HSubstitution - Geovany Quenda · for Cole Palmer
  2. 93'HYellow card - Mike Penders
  3. 87'HSubstitution - Valentin Barco · for Pedro Neto
  4. 87'HSubstitution - Malo Gusto · for Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
  5. 87'HSubstitution - Danny Welbeck · for Moises Caicedo
  6. 86'AYellow card - Joshua Zirkzee
  7. 81'AYellow card - Bryan Mbeumo
  8. 77'ASubstitution - Joshua Zirkzee · for Amad Diallo
  9. 74'HSubstitution - Pep Chavarria · for Marco Palestra
  10. 70'AYellow card - Kobbie Mainoo
  11. 66'ASubstitution - Ayden Heaven · for Andrey Santos
  12. 66'ASubstitution - Mason Mount · for Matheus Cunha
  13. 65'AYellow card - Harry Maguire
  14. 64'HGoal - Cole Palmer · Penalty
  15. 63'ARed card - Lisandro Martínez
  16. 59'AYellow card - Lisandro Martínez
  17. 58'ASubstitution - Kobbie Mainoo · for Carlos Baleba
  18. 50'HGoal - Morgan Rogers · Assist: Romeo Lavia
Attacking pressurefrom shots and corners so far
ChelseaManchester United
61%39%
9
Shots on target
5
18
Shots
12
8
Corners
7
58
Possession %
42

Chelsea's home firepower and United's slump point to a Stamford Bridge lean

Our main prediction · Draw No Bet
Chelsea - Draw No Bet
1.47
Medium
Confidence
68%
Implied by the odds

Our pick

odds are estimates
  • Draw No Bet
    Chelsea - Draw No Bet@ 1.47
    Medium confidenceWon

Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.

Full analysis

Chelsea have scored 2.8 goals per game at home in the league this season, with recent wins including 5-1 over Bournemouth and 2-0 at Everton. Palmer returns from his League Cup suspension. Manchester United arrive on a league run of LLDLD, with one win in their last eight in all competitions, and score just 1.0 goals per game on the road.

United's absences are deep: Sesko, Shaw, Dorgu and Ugarte are out, centre-back cover is uncertain, and Fernandes, Mainoo and Rashford are all doubts. Chelsea are also hit, without Joao Pedro, Reece James and first-choice keeper Emiliano Martinez. United have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. The market rates Chelsea as clear favourites, with United well behind.

Draw no bet covers the draw, which matters because Chelsea have lost 0-2 to Tottenham and 0-3 at Brentford recently and concede 2.0 per game at home. Confidence is Medium rather than High because that defensive record and a stand-in goalkeeper leave room for a United goal. It is not lower because form, the market and United's injury list all point the same way.

The numbers behind it

Chelsea
WLWDLWWLDW
Last 10, oldest to newest
Manchester United
WLLDDLDLLL
Last 10, oldest to newest
Chelsealast 10 gamesManchester United
2.3Goals scored / game1.0
1.7Goals conceded / game1.8
5.9Shots on target / game4.8
5.7Corners won / game5.8
5.7Corners conceded / game3.6
1.9Cards / game2.2

This competition over the last 12 months (371 matches): 2.75 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 53%, both teams scored in 56%, 9.9 corners, 4.2 cards a game.

This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

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