Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United
2 - 0
- 88'HYellow card - Robin Le Normand
- 88'HSubstitution - Robin Le Normand · for Giuliano Simeone Baldini
- 80'ASubstitution - Matheus Cunha · for Bruno Fernandes
- 80'ASubstitution - Harry Maguire · for Ayden Heaven
- 79'HGoal - Ademola Lookman
- 74'ARed card - Leny Yoro
- 71'HSubstitution - Morten Hjulmand · for Julián Álvarez
- 71'HSubstitution - Ademola Lookman · for Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
- 66'ASubstitution - Amad Diallo · for Marcus Rashford
- 66'ASubstitution - Mason Mount · for Carlos Baleba
- 66'ASubstitution - Joshua Zirkzee · for Youri Tielemans
- 61'HSubstitution - Jonathan David · for Lee Kang-In
- 60'HSubstitution - Marc Pubill · for Pablo Barrios Rivas
- 52'AYellow card - Marcus Rashford
- 37'HYellow card - Diego Pablo Simeone
- 1'HGoal - Pablo Barrios Rivas · Assist: Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
- 3
- Shots on target
- 3
- 9
- Shots
- 7
- 2
- Corners
- 3
- 58
- Possession %
- 42
Atletico draw-no-bet preferred, with under 3.5 goals also supported
Our picks (2)
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonDraw No BetAtletico Madrid - Draw No Bet@ 1.40
- Medium confidenceWonTotal GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals@ 1.44
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Atletico have won four straight matches, including 2-1 against Real Madrid and 3-0 at Real Sociedad; United's latest four results are two draws and two defeats. That form advantage supports Atletico draw-no-bet at 1.40, with draw protection preferable to the outright win given United's consecutive 1-1 results.
Four of Atletico's last five matches and three of United's last five finished below four goals. Those scorelines support under 3.5 at 1.67, although Atletico's 4-0 victory over Osasuna and United's 2-3 defeat to Brighton show the risk of a higher total.
United have three Champions League points to Atletico's zero after one match each, while their listed absences include Sesko, Ugarte and De Ligt; availability remains provisional without confirmed line-ups. The main pick earns Medium confidence: Atletico's stronger recent form supports more than a thin lean, but United's better European start and unresolved team news prevent High confidence.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (279 matches): 3.30 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 61%, both teams scored in 56%, 9.6 corners, 4.0 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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