Floodlit football pitch at night, background for SharpTips data-driven football predictions

TottenhamTottenham vs Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace2 - 0

Full timeMatch time
0'HT90'
Match eventsTottenham / Crystal Palace
  1. 88'HSubstitution - Luca Jamie Williams-Barnett · for Mathys Tel
  2. 88'ASubstitution - Will Hughes · for Daichi Kamada
  3. 88'ASubstitution - Jefferson Lerma · for Adam Wharton
  4. 77'HSubstitution - Destiny Udogie · for Andrew Robertson
  5. 77'HSubstitution - Dejan Kulusevski · for Omar Marmoush
  6. 77'ASubstitution - Dario Osorio · for Dwight McNeil
  7. 73'HGoal - Jan Paul van Hecke
  8. 66'HSubstitution - Conor Gallagher · for Dominic Solanke
  9. 60'ASubstitution - Eddie Nketiah · for Yeremy Pino
  10. 60'ASubstitution - Anan Khalaili · for Oscar Mingueza
  11. 53'AYellow card - Oscar Mingueza
  12. 45'HSubstitution - Pedro Porro · for Archie Gray
  13. 25'HGoal - Archie Gray · Assist: Mohammed Kudus
  14. 15'HYellow card - Archie Gray
  15. 13'ARed card - Jean-Philippe Mateta
Attacking pressurefrom shots and corners so far
TottenhamCrystal Palace
94%6%
9
Shots on target
1
34
Shots
2
19
Corners
0
79
Possession %
21

Spurs' upturn and Palace's leaky defence point toward the hosts, with draw protection

Our main prediction · Draw No Bet
Tottenham - Draw No Bet
1.25
High
Confidence
80%
Implied by the odds

Our pick

odds are estimates
  • Draw No Bet
    Tottenham - Draw No Bet@ 1.25
    High confidenceWon

Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.

Full analysis

Tottenham sit 14th on 9 points (GD -2) and arrive on back-to-back league wins, 2-0 at Chelsea and 3-1 against Coventry. Crystal Palace are 17th on 7 points with a GD of -10 and have lost their last two league games 0-5 at Brighton and 0-2 at home to Newcastle. Bookmakers rate Spurs clearly the stronger side.

Palace concede 2.3 goals per away game, have kept one clean sheet in eight and have Europa League fixtures stretching the squad. Riad and Tomiyasu are out, while Strand Larsen and Timber are doubts. Spurs are thinner than ideal, with Bentancur suspended, Simons, Odobert and Mudryk out and Maddison a late call. Spurs' home record is only W1-D1-L2.

Medium rather than High because Spurs' absences are significant and Palace have won three of the last four meetings, including twice in north London. It is not lower because the table, Spurs' recent league form, Palace's defensive record and the market all lean the same way. A draw returns the stake.

The numbers behind it

Tottenham
WLDDLLDWWW
Last 10, oldest to newest
Crystal Palace
LWDWLLDLWL
Last 10, oldest to newest
Tottenhamlast 10 gamesCrystal Palace
1.6Goals scored / game1.4
1.1Goals conceded / game1.8
5.3Shots on target / game3.7
8.8Corners won / game3.8
3.9Corners conceded / game6.6
1.6Cards / game1.9

This competition over the last 12 months (371 matches): 2.75 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 53%, both teams scored in 56%, 9.9 corners, 4.2 cards a game.

This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

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