- 96'HGoal - Ben Davies · Assist: Dominic Solanke
- 87'ASubstitution - Kaine Kesler-Hayden · for Jack Rudoni
- 87'HSubstitution - Dejan Kulusevski · for Mohammed Kudus
- 87'HSubstitution - Mathys Tel · for Omar Marmoush
- 78'ASubstitution - Gustavo Hamer · for Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
- 78'ASubstitution - Ephron Mason-Clark · for Brandon Thomas-Asante
- 71'HSubstitution - Mateus Fernandes · for Tosin Adarabioyo
- 69'HSubstitution - Ben Davies · for Andrew Robertson
- 69'HSubstitution - Conor Gallagher · for James Maddison
- 64'AYellow card - Jack Rudoni
- 60'ASubstitution - Taiwo Awoniyi · for Sidiki Cherif
- 60'ASubstitution - Frank Onyeka · for Caleb Yirenkyi
- 58'HGoal - Omar Marmoush · Assist: Andrew Robertson
- 49'AGoal - Jack Rudoni · Assist: Brandon Thomas-Asante
- 45'AYellow card - Jay Dasilva
- 22'HYellow card - Dominic Solanke
- 20'AYellow card - Caleb Yirenkyi
- 14'HGoal - James Maddison · Assist: Mohammed Kudus
- 5
- Shots on target
- 1
- 16
- Shots
- 12
- 4
- Corners
- 4
- 66
- Possession %
- 34
Under 3.5 goals offers the strongest statistical lean
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceLostTotal GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals@ 1.53
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Tottenham average 0.7 goals scored at home, while Coventry average 0.3 away; both have failed to score in four of six league games. Their respective home and away concession rates of 1.7 and 1.3 also support under 3.5 goals.
Tottenham's recent league results include 1-1, 0-0 and 0-0, although their 2-3 defeat to Aston Villa highlights the risk. Coventry's 4-1 win over Newcastle and 0-5 defeat to Brighton provide further counterweights to the low season scoring averages.
Under 3.5 at 1.57 requires roughly a 64% success rate, and the scoring figures suggest a modest edge above that threshold. Confidence is Medium rather than High because of the price, the six-game league sample and the recent high-scoring exceptions; the repeated scoring blanks make this stronger than a Low-confidence lean.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (371 matches): 2.75 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 53%, both teams scored in 56%, 9.9 corners, 4.2 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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