SharpTips
Floodlit football pitch at night, background for SharpTips data-driven football predictions

StrasbourgStrasbourg vs AuxerreAuxerre5 - 1

Ligue 1 logoLigue 1·Sunday 1 November at 14:00
Full timeMatch time
0'HT90'
Match eventsStrasbourg / Auxerre
  1. 87'AYellow card - Romain Faivre
  2. 85'HGoal - Gessime Yassine · Assist: Joaquín Martínez Gauna
  3. 78'HSubstitution - Pape Demba Diop · for Dario Essugo
  4. 78'HSubstitution - Jacobo Ortega · for Conrad Harder
  5. 77'HGoal - Gessime Yassine · Assist: Sebastian Nanasi
  6. 74'ARed card - Lamfia Dioubaté
  7. 73'ASubstitution - Youssef Khoudda · for Naouirou Ahamada
  8. 72'AYellow card - Paul Nardi
  9. 68'AGoal - Cameron Archer · Assist: Romain Faivre
  10. 66'HSubstitution - Diogo Sousa · for Giovanni Reyna
  11. 66'HSubstitution - Jeyland Mitchell · for Ismael Doukoure
  12. 63'ASubstitution - Lamfia Dioubaté · for Kevin Danois
  13. 63'ASubstitution - Rayan Mandengue · for Lamine Sy
  14. 63'ASubstitution - Marvin Senaya · for Christ Makosso
  15. 63'ASubstitution - Arthur Piedfort · for Danny Namaso
  16. 62'HGoal - Conrad Harder · Penalty
  17. 60'AYellow card - Christ Makosso
  18. 59'HSubstitution - Sebastian Nanasi · for Martial Godo
  19. 55'HGoal - Martial Godo · Assist: Gessime Yassine
  20. 51'AYellow card - William Still
  21. 44'HYellow card - Hugo Filipe Carvalho de Oliveira
  22. 41'HGoal - Dario Essugo · Assist: Joaquín Martínez Gauna
  23. 39'AYellow card - Lamine Sy
Attacking pressurefrom shots and corners so far
StrasbourgAuxerre
78%22%
6
Shots on target
2
19
Shots
6
5
Corners
0
64
Possession %
36

Auxerre to find the net against a leaky Strasbourg defence

Our main prediction · Team Goals
Auxerre Over 0.5 Goals
1.33
Suggested stake 2 units
Medium
Confidence
75%
Implied by the odds

Our pick

odds are estimates
  • Team Goals
    Auxerre Over 0.5 Goals@ 1.33
    Suggested stake: 2 units · 1 unit = 1% of your betting bank
    Medium confidenceWon

Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.

Full analysis

Strasbourg sit 16th with 7 points, are winless in five (LLLLD) and have lost their last four in Ligue 1, the latest 0-3 at Rennes and 1-3 against PSG. Over their last 14 games they concede 2.0 goals per game and face 6.4 shots on target against, and they have no clean sheets this season. Auxerre are 12th on 10 points with form of DWLWW and have the in-form strikers C. Archer (5 goals) and D. Namaso (3).

Auxerre are not a prolific side on the road: they average 1.8 goals per game away this season but concede 3.3, and their shots on target away are modest at 3.3 per game over the last year. Strasbourg's home games have often featured goals at both ends, with both teams scoring in 5 of their last 6 home matches. Strasbourg have injury doubts around Balde and Amo-Ameyaw plus managerial upheaval, and Auxerre are missing a few squad players, though none of them are among the main scorers listed. Line-ups are not yet confirmed.

Auxerre to score at least once is a Medium-confidence lean. The market and our model both rate it as likely, and Strasbourg's defensive record backs that up. It is not High because Auxerre failed to score in about a third of their games over the last year, their away shot volume is low, team news is provisional and the price leaves little margin for error.

The numbers behind it

Strasbourg
WLWWDLLLLW
Last 10, oldest to newest
Auxerre
WLLLWWLWDL
Last 10, oldest to newest
Strasbourglast 10 gamesAuxerre
2.2Goals scored / game1.5
2.3Goals conceded / game2.3
5.2Shots on target / game4.7
2.9Corners won / game4.8
4.6Corners conceded / game6.3
1.7Cards / game1.9

This competition over the last 12 months (288 matches): 2.85 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 55%, both teams scored in 54%, 9.4 corners, 3.9 cards a game.

This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Recommended predictions

The strongest picks we have published for the coming matches.

FootballWed 4 Nov, 17:45
Champions League logoChampions League
FenerbahçeFenerbahçevsLiverpoolLiverpool
Fenerbahçe Over 0.5 Goals · est. 1.40
Medium confidenceFree
FootballWed 4 Nov, 19:45
Championship logoChampionship
WrexhamWrexhamvsMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
Wrexham Over 0.5 Goals · est. 1.40
Medium confidenceFree
See live predictions

Why bettors use SharpTips

Published before kick-off

Every pick is timestamped at least 12 hours before the match and never edited afterwards.

Every result on record

Wins and losses are settled automatically from the final score and stay public.

Built on real data

Form, league table, season statistics, injuries and line-ups for each match.

Checked against the market

Bookmaker prices are the baseline - we look for concrete reasons to side with or against them.

Named like your bookmaker

Selections are written in full, exactly as they appear on a betting slip.

Quality over volume

No pick is forced onto a fixture - where the data is thin we publish nothing.