- 86'HSubstitution - Tyrese Campbell · for Romelle Donovan
- 86'HSubstitution - Mark McGuinness · for Hamza Choudhury
- 79'HSubstitution - Oliver Arblaster · for Ben Brereton
- 73'ASubstitution - George Thomason · for Jacques Ekomié
- 73'ASubstitution - Danny Imray · for Issa Kabore
- 73'ASubstitution - George Dobson · for Ben Sheaf
- 69'HSubstitution - Thomas Cannon · for Jordan Ayew
- 69'HSubstitution - Femi Seriki · for Tahith Chong
- 67'HYellow card - Kalvin Phillips
- 55'HYellow card - Liam Kitching
- 45'ASubstitution - Sam Smith · for Oliver Rathbone
- 45'ASubstitution - Max Cleworth · for Dominic Hyam
- 30'HGoal - Ben Brereton
- 27'AYellow card - Callum Doyle
- 4
- Shots on target
- 1
- 13
- Shots
- 9
- 7
- Corners
- 0
- 55
- Possession %
- 45
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham: goals trends lean towards at least two
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceLostTotal GoalsOver 1.5 Goals@ 1.29
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Sheffield Utd (12th, 16 pts, GD +1) average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home game. Wrexham (17th, 14 pts) concede 1.7 per away game, which points to around two and a half goals in a typical meeting. Four of Sheffield's last five finished with two or more goals, including 2-3 at Portsmouth and 3-0 against Lincoln.
Wrexham's last five all had at least two goals, among them a 4-1 win over Preston and a 1-2 home defeat to West Brom. The last five head-to-heads produced 3, 8, 6, 4 and 6 goals. The market sees little between the sides and gives the draw a real chance, so the goals line is the clearer lean than the result.
Confidence is Medium rather than High because Wrexham score only 0.8 per away game and could be without Windass and Broadhead in attack, so a tight low-scoring game is possible. The bookmaker price also offers no value against the sharp market. It is not lower because season scoring rates, recent scorelines and head-to-head history all point the same way.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (558 matches): 2.71 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 54%, both teams scored in 59%, 10.5 corners, 4.0 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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