- 86'HSubstitution - José Ángel Carmona · for Felix Correia
- 82'HGoal - Felix Correia · Assist: Youssouf Fofana
- 79'ASubstitution - Asier Osambela · for Lucas Torró
- 79'ASubstitution - Enrique Barja Alfonso · for Moi Gómez
- 79'ASubstitution - Íñigo Arguibide · for Valentin Rosier
- 71'HSubstitution - Rubén Vargas · for Chidera Ejuke
- 71'HSubstitution - Manuel Bueno Sebastián · for Isaac Romero
- 68'AYellow card - Valentin Rosier
- 63'ASubstitution - Raul Moro · for Rubén García
- 63'ASubstitution - Raul García · for Jonathan Dubasin
- 63'HSubstitution - Robbie Ure · for Lucas Stassin
- 55'HYellow card - Isaac Romero
- 29'AYellow card - Alejandro Catena
- 24'HGoal - Isaac Romero · Assist: Youssouf Fofana
- 7
- Shots on target
- 2
- 17
- Shots
- 10
- 7
- Corners
- 4
- 44
- Possession %
- 56
Over 1.5 goals looks the strongest Sevilla–Osasuna angle
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonTotal GoalsOver 1.5 Goals@ 1.40
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Sevilla have scored in all nine league matches, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded at home. Osasuna's away averages are 1.5 scored and 3.8 conceded, supporting a lean towards Over 1.5 goals at 1.37.
Four of Sevilla's last five matches and all five of Osasuna's produced at least two goals. Sevilla's latest league results were 1-4 and 3-3, while Osasuna's were 2-0 and 2-5; these favour the lower goals threshold over either side's outright result.
The estimate is 77%, giving Medium confidence: the season scoring figures and recent results support the pick, but two of the last five meetings finished 1-0. Those low-scoring precedents, unpublished line-ups and a market favouring Under 2.5 prevent a High rating.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (379 matches): 2.79 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 52%, both teams scored in 57%, 9.6 corners, 4.8 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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