- 82'HSubstitution - Sebastian Walukiewicz · for Duje Ćaleta-Car
- 71'ASubstitution - Andrea Pinamonti · for Tijjani Noslin
- 70'HSubstitution - Andrea Ghion · for Armand Lauriente
- 65'AGoal - Tijjani Noslin · Assist: Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
- 63'ASubstitution - Alfonso Pedraza · for Nuno Tavares
- 63'ASubstitution - Matteo Cancellieri · for Gustav Isaksen
- 63'HSubstitution - Kieron Bowie · for Sebastiano Esposito
- 63'HSubstitution - Fali Cande · for Domenico Berardi
- 62'ASubstitution - Manuel Lazzari · for Romano Floriani Mussolini
- 55'AGoal - Tijjani Noslin · Assist: Mattia Zaccagni
- 54'HYellow card - Domenico Berardi
- 46'AGoal - Mattia Zaccagni · Assist: Gustav Isaksen
- 45'ASubstitution - Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · for Kenneth Taylor
- 45'HSubstitution - Ibrahim Sulemana · for Darryl Bakola
- 43'HGoal - Sebastiano Esposito · Assist: Simone Cinquegrano
- 31'HRed card - Kristian Thorstvedt
- 28'AYellow card - Kenneth Taylor
- 16'AGoal - Romano Floriani Mussolini · Assist: Kenneth Taylor
- 13'AGoal - Gustav Isaksen · Assist: Mattia Zaccagni
- 7'HGoal - Kristian Thorstvedt · Assist: Josh Doig
- 2'AGoal - Kenneth Taylor
- 2
- Shots on target
- 8
- 9
- Shots
- 16
- 2
- Corners
- 1
- 42
- Possession %
- 58
Unbeaten leaders Lazio lean to avoid defeat at struggling Sassuolo
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonDouble ChanceLazio or Draw@ 1.30
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Lazio arrive as Serie A leaders on 22 points, unbeaten and on a four-match winning run under Gattuso. Sassuolo have collected just one point from their last four league games under Aquilani. The market rates Lazio as clear favourites, with a Lazio defeat seen as the least likely of the three outcomes.
Team news is provisional, as line-ups are not yet published and reports suggest Lazio may adjust their forward line because of a fitness doubt. Older reports had Sassuolo missing Volpato (thigh) and Leysen (ACL), which, if still current, thins a squad already short of results. Covering the draw protects against Sassuolo's home advantage at the Mapei and the rotation risk of a midweek fixture.
Lazio or Draw is Medium rather than High because the support comes mainly from form and table position, which the market has largely priced in, and no head-to-head or goals data was available to confirm the lean. It is not Low because the gap between an unbeaten leader and a side with one point from four is sizeable and consistent across the sourced reporting.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (382 matches): 2.67 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 51%, both teams scored in 48%, 9.0 corners, 3.8 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Related articles
All articles →
Recommended predictions
The strongest picks we have published for the coming matches.
Fenerbahçevs
Liverpool
Wrexhamvs
MiddlesbroughWhy bettors use SharpTips
Every pick is timestamped at least 12 hours before the match and never edited afterwards.
Wins and losses are settled automatically from the final score and stay public.
Form, league table, season statistics, injuries and line-ups for each match.
Bookmaker prices are the baseline - we look for concrete reasons to side with or against them.
Selections are written in full, exactly as they appear on a betting slip.
No pick is forced onto a fixture - where the data is thin we publish nothing.