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P. Carreno-Busta vs F. Auger-Aliassime1 - 2

ATP Tour logoATP Tour·Monday 12 October at 05:10
Full timeMatch time

Recent extended matches favour over 21.5 games

Our main prediction · Total Games
Over 21.5 Games
1.72
Medium
Confidence
58%
Implied by the odds

Our pick

odds are estimates
  • Total Games
    Over 21.5 Games@ 1.72
    Medium confidenceWon

Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.

Full analysis

Carreno-Busta beat Tabilo 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 on October 10, a 33-game match; Auger-Aliassime beat Ugo Carabelli 4-6, 7-6, 7-5, totalling 35 games. Both therefore enter this meeting immediately after lengthy three-set victories.

Five of their nine listed best-of-three matches reached a deciding set, supporting a lean towards over 21.5 games. Auger-Aliassime's ranking of sixth against Carreno-Busta's 65th is the main counterweight, although Carreno-Busta has won four of his five listed matches.

Over 21.5 games at 1.83 requires approximately a 55% success rate, and the recent match-length evidence supports a modestly higher estimate. Confidence is Medium because the price is above the High threshold and the ranking gap leaves a meaningful risk of a short, straight-sets result.

This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

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