
Knicks +2.5: market backs MSG response despite 0-3 start, with Duren out for Detroit
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonPoint SpreadNew York Knicks +2.5@ 1.44
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Full analysis
New York sit 13th in the East at 0-3, scoring 305 and conceding 324, and have lost four of their last five. Detroit lead the conference at 3-0 (355 for, 317 against) and won 106-93 at Philadelphia last time out.
Despite that gap in form, bookmakers still make the Knicks home favourites by a few points. One reason is that Detroit are without starting centre Jalen Duren (hamstring), with Ausar Thompson and Isaiah Joe both game-time decisions, while New York are missing only Jose Alvarado. As defending champions at MSG trying to avoid 0-4, the Knicks also have clear motivation, which makes taking the points a steadier angle than backing either side outright.
Confidence is Medium, not High, because the Pistons' unbeaten start and their three heavy wins over New York last season point the other way. The early-season samples are also too small to settle the conflict. It is not lower because the sharp market leans to New York, and the extra 2.5 points means a narrow Detroit win still lands the bet.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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