Jokic and Murray give Denver the edge in New Orleans despite thin depth
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonMatch WinnerDenver Nuggets to win@ 1.51
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Full analysis
New Orleans are 0-3 and 14th in the West, with 374 points scored against 384 conceded, under first-year coach Jamahl Mosley. Denver are 1-2 and 10th. The market rates Denver as the clear favourite for this rematch.
Denver won the October 24 meeting 141-135 in overtime, with Jamal Murray scoring 42 and Nikola Jokic posting 35 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists, while Trey Murphy III led New Orleans with 26. Denver remain without Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones, Julian Strawther and Alpha Diallo, so rookie Bryce Hopkins starts again. New Orleans are missing Yves Missi (day-to-day), with DeAndre Jordan in his place.
The pick is Medium because the market, the table and the star power of Jokic and Murray all point to Denver. It is not higher because the last meeting needed overtime, Denver's depth is stretched, and their road games this season have been close (108.0 scored, 107.5 conceded per game). It is not lower because New Orleans have yet to win, and the core that decided the first meeting is intact.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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