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Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers109 - 114

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Pacers vs 76ers: Philadelphia with a head start looks the sensible lean

Our main prediction · Point Spread
Philadelphia 76ers +3.5
1.50
Medium
Confidence
67%
Implied by the odds

Our pick

odds are estimates
  • Point Spread
    Philadelphia 76ers +3.5@ 1.50
    Medium confidenceWon

Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.

Full analysis

Philadelphia arrive 3-1 and second in the East, conceding 428 points across those four games. Indiana sit eighth at 2-2 with a 466/460 points record. The market rates the Sixers as narrow road favourites, which matches their stronger start.

Indiana's injury list is the heavier one: T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy are out, Ivica Zubac and Aaron Nesmith are game-time decisions and Andrew Nembhard is day-to-day. The Pacers have also struggled at home, winning a quarter of their games there and conceding 120.0 per game. Philadelphia's road form is a concern, though, at 106.7 scored and 119.3 conceded away.

Taking the Sixers with a 3.5-point start covers both a Philadelphia win and a narrow Pacers win, which leans with both the market and the team news. It is Medium rather than High because Philadelphia's away splits are poor, Joel Embiid's return is unconfirmed and Tyrese Maxey is being monitored after a head knock. It is not Low because the market, the table and the injury balance all point the same way.

This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

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