- 90'HSubstitution - Ximo Navarro · for David Mella
- 90'HSubstitution - Riki Rodríguez · for Mario Soriano
- 89'ASubstitution - Enrique Barja Alfonso · for Valentin Rosier
- 87'HGoal - Bil Nsongo
- 84'AYellow card - Enrique Barja Alfonso
- 81'AYellow card - Abel Bretones
- 78'ASubstitution - Íñigo Arguibide · for Jon Moncayola
- 78'ASubstitution - Raul García · for Ante Budimir
- 69'HSubstitution - Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · for Luismi Cruz
- 69'ASubstitution - Rubén García · for Jonathan Dubasin
- 69'ASubstitution - Asier Osambela · for Raul Moro
- 64'HGoal - Mario Soriano · Assist: Luismi Cruz
- 63'AYellow card - Alejandro Catena
- 56'HSubstitution - Adama Traoré · for Giacomo Quagliata
- 35'AYellow card - Moi Gómez
- 32'AGoal - Ante Budimir · Assist: Moi Gómez
- 7
- Shots on target
- 2
- 18
- Shots
- 11
- 8
- Corners
- 2
- 62
- Possession %
- 38
Osasuna's leaky away defence points to a Deportivo goal at Riazor
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonTeam GoalsDeportivo La Coruna Over 0.5 Goals@ 1.28Suggested stake: 2 units · 1 unit = 1% of your betting bank
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Osasuna have conceded 3.4 goals per away game this season, losing 0-2 at Sevilla, 2-5 at Real Betis, 0-4 at Atletico and 2-5 at Alaves, with an away record of W1-D0-L4. Deportivo, 12th on 11 points, have kept no clean sheets but failed to score in only two of ten league games. They average 1.2 goals at home, including 1-1 draws with Levante and Betis.
The market rates Deportivo as moderate favourites, and both the sharp market and our model lean towards them scoring. Their attack is depleted, though: Aubameyang, Eddahchouri and Ede are all listed as missing, and line-ups are not yet confirmed. Osasuna are without Herrando, with Del Castillo and Oroz doubtful, which leaves Budimir (7 goals) to carry their attack.
Confidence is Medium rather than High because Deportivo's forward absences are real and they failed to score in 29% of home games over the last 12 months, including a 0-1 loss to Sevilla. It is not lower because Osasuna's away defence has leaked goals in every recent trip, and even a single-goal home win lands the pick.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (379 matches): 2.79 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 52%, both teams scored in 57%, 9.6 corners, 4.8 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Related articles
All articles →
Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction: La Liga preview
Sevilla host Osasuna on Monday with three points separating them after nine league matches. Both sides face Copa del Rey fixtures three days later.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Preview: El Clásico Team News
Barcelona host Real Madrid in La Liga on Sunday 25 October at 20:00 UK time. Defensive absences, Vinícius’s suspension and a busy European week shape the preview.
Recommended predictions
The strongest picks we have published for the coming matches.
Fenerbahçevs
Liverpool
Wrexhamvs
MiddlesbroughWhy bettors use SharpTips
Every pick is timestamped at least 12 hours before the match and never edited afterwards.
Wins and losses are settled automatically from the final score and stay public.
Form, league table, season statistics, injuries and line-ups for each match.
Bookmaker prices are the baseline - we look for concrete reasons to side with or against them.
Selections are written in full, exactly as they appear on a betting slip.
No pick is forced onto a fixture - where the data is thin we publish nothing.