- 90'ASubstitution - Dan Burn · for Bazoumana Touré
- 86'HGoal - Stephen Mfuni · Assist: Jay Dasilva
- 83'HSubstitution - Stephen Mfuni · for Matt Grimes
- 83'HSubstitution - Victor Torp · for Jack Rudoni
- 81'AYellow card - Joelinton
- 81'HGoal - Ellis Simms · Assist: Brandon Thomas-Asante
- 78'ASubstitution - William Osula · for Yoane Wissa
- 78'HSubstitution - Ellis Simms · for Sidiki Cherif
- 78'HSubstitution - Frank Onyeka · for Caleb Yirenkyi
- 70'AGoal - Sven Botman · Assist: Nico González
- 66'HYellow card - Milan van Ewijk
- 61'HSubstitution - Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · for Ephron Mason-Clark
- 59'ASubstitution - Amar Dedić · for Lewis Miley
- 59'ASubstitution - Bazoumana Touré · for Jacob Murphy
- 59'ASubstitution - Joelinton · for Joe Willock
- 48'HGoal - Sidiki Cherif
- 6'HGoal - Jack Rudoni · Penalty
- 6
- Shots on target
- 6
- 9
- Shots
- 19
- 2
- Corners
- 6
- 34
- Possession %
- 66
Newcastle to avoid defeat, with Coventry's scoring struggles favouring BTTS No
Our picks (2)
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceLostDouble ChanceNewcastle or Draw@ 1.33
- Medium confidenceLostBoth Teams To ScoreBoth Teams To Score - No@ 2.38
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Coventry sit 18th with three points and a −9 goal difference, compared with Newcastle's 11th place, eight points and level goal difference. Coventry have lost both home league matches without scoring, supporting Newcastle or Draw at 1.36 rather than the outright away result.
Coventry have failed to score in four of five league games, and Awoniyi's suspension further limits their attacking options. Both Teams To Score - No at 2.25 looks better supported than Yes, although Newcastle's defensive vulnerability keeps this secondary pick at Medium confidence.
Coventry's latest 1–0 win at Nottingham Forest and Newcastle's recent 4–1 defeat at Leeds temper the away-side lean. The main pick earns Medium confidence: form and home scoring data support it, but unresolved Newcastle fitness concerns and unpublished line-ups prevent a High rating.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (371 matches): 2.75 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 53%, both teams scored in 56%, 9.9 corners, 4.2 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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