- 92'HYellow card - Colby Donovan
- 89'HYellow card - Oliver Sorensen
- 85'HYellow card - Liam Scales
- 85'ASubstitution - Javi Galán · for Hugo Alvarez Antunez
- 85'ASubstitution - Andrés Antañón Vieites · for Javier Rueda García
- 80'HSubstitution - Sebastian Tounekti · for Camilo Duran
- 79'HSubstitution - Oliver Sorensen · for Mika Baur
- 77'ASubstitution - Pablo Durán Fernández · for Ferran Jutglà
- 73'HSubstitution - Kasper Hogh · for Haissem Hassan
- 71'AGoal - Javier Rodríguez Galiano
- 68'AGoal - Javier Rodríguez Galiano · Assist: Hugo Alvarez Antunez
- 67'HYellow card - M. O'Neill
- 63'ASubstitution - Ilaix Moriba · for Hugo Burcio
- 63'ASubstitution - Williot Swedberg · for Iago Aspas
- 58'HSubstitution - James Forrest · for Callum Osmand
- 47'HGoal - Mika Baur
- 23'HYellow card - Camilo Duran
- 4
- Shots on target
- 4
- 8
- Shots
- 22
- 2
- Corners
- 6
- 44
- Possession %
- 56
Celtic–Celta Vigo: over 1.5 goals is the strongest lean
Our pick
odds are estimates- High confidenceWonTotal GoalsOver 1.5 Goals@ 1.22
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Celtic's opening European matches ended in 1-3 and 1-4 defeats, leaving them 33rd with no points and a -5 goal difference. They have scored and conceded in both, supporting over 1.5 goals at 1.25 without needing to identify the stronger side.
Four of Celtic's last five matches and three of Celta's last five produced at least two goals. However, Celta's latest away results were 0-0 at Elche and 0-1 at Omonia, providing the clearest counterargument.
The estimate is 81%, giving the selection High confidence through agreement between Celtic's European scoring pattern and the broader recent results. Confidence is only narrowly above that threshold because Celta's away scoring has been limited, Borja Iglesias is listed as unavailable and the European samples remain small.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (269 matches): 2.80 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 56%, both teams scored in 48%, 9.4 corners, 4.2 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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