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UEFA Europa League · prediction

Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction

Thursday 5 November at 20:00 (UK time)

Match forecast

Benfica

Lech Poznan

71%

Benfica win

15%

Draw

14%

Lech Poznan win

Benfica vs Lech Poznan (UEFA Europa League): Benfica start as clear favourites, with a 71% chance of winning in our model. The expected goals - 2.99 for Benfica and 1.34 for Lech Poznan - point to an open game with goals at both ends. These figures come from every league match both teams played over the last 12 months, home and away form weighted separately.

Recent form

BenficaWWWWW

vs Alverca1-0

vs Santa Clara2-1

vs Omonia Nicosia4-1

vs Celtic4-1

vs Vitória SC2-0

Lech PoznanDLLDW

vs Sunderland1-1

vs Bayer Leverkusen0-4

vs Crystal Palace0-4

vs FC Thun2-2

vs FC Thun7-0

Our picks, combinations and likely scores

Our picks for this match

Members onlyResult · 60% chance1.67fair odds

Members onlyGoals · 70% chance1.43fair odds

Members onlyBTTS · 58% chance1.72fair odds

Combinations

Members only45% chance2.22fair odds

Members only38% chance2.63fair odds

Bookmakers price bet builders with a bigger margin than singles - only worth it at the fair odds or higher.

SharpTips model tip

Members only

60% · fair odds 1.67

Goals

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score50%

Most likely scores

1-112%

1-010%

2-19%

expected corners

expected cards

Members

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Statistical forecast from 7 league matches of both teams over the last 12 months. It is a probability, not a certainty. 18+ only, please gamble responsibly - BeGambleAware.org.