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Primeira Liga · prediction

Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction

Saturday 7 November at 18:00 (UK time)

Match forecast

Alverca

Casa Pia

45%

Alverca win

31%

Draw

25%

Casa Pia win

Alverca vs Casa Pia (Primeira Liga): Alverca are slight favourites at 45%, with the draw at 31%. The expected goals - 1.16 for Alverca and 0.79 for Casa Pia - point to a tight, low-scoring game. These figures come from every league match both teams played over the last 12 months, home and away form weighted separately.

Recent form

AlvercaLLDWW

vs Benfica0-1

vs Arouca0-1

vs Tondela0-0

vs Famalicao4-1

vs Rio Ave1-0

Casa PiaLWWLW

vs Sporting CP0-2

vs Estrela2-0

vs Alpendorada1-0

vs Santa Clara0-1

vs Estoril2-1

Head to head

2026-04-12Alverca vs Casa Pia3-1

2025-11-29Casa Pia vs Alverca0-2

Our picks, combinations and likely scores

Our picks for this match

Members onlyResult · 60% chance1.67fair odds

Members onlyGoals · 70% chance1.43fair odds

Members onlyBTTS · 58% chance1.72fair odds

Combinations

Members only45% chance2.22fair odds

Members only38% chance2.63fair odds

Bookmakers price bet builders with a bigger margin than singles - only worth it at the fair odds or higher.

SharpTips model tip

Members only

60% · fair odds 1.67

Goals

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score50%

Most likely scores

1-112%

1-010%

2-19%

expected corners

expected cards

Members

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Statistical forecast from 35 league matches of both teams over the last 12 months. It is a probability, not a certainty. 18+ only, please gamble responsibly - BeGambleAware.org.